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Red45
15778.8
173113.7
22167.5
Blue9
33397.4
15783.5
30654.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16170510202530354045459

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.72.0
8.710.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
3339
#16
7.40.6
5.95.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
8.82.0
3.35.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
3065
#46
4.60.6
5.54.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2216
#12
7.52.0
4.96.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
1578
#34
3.50.6
5.44.8
Auto
Teleop
End