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Red19
26722.7
30523.1
33518.8
Blue3
15783.5
22306.7
33882.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1314051020253035193

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8.80.3
7.78.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
2230
#24
6.70.7
7.36.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3052
#20
3.10.4
3.03.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1578
#34
3.50.8
4.33.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2672
#32
2.70.4
2.42.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
3388
#33
2.70.7
3.42.7
Auto
Teleop
End