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Red68
169015.0
166216.6
19379.7
Blue35
173113.7
22319.6
331610.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35331020304050606835

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.60.6
14.715.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
13.70.0
13.313.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
15.00.6
13.213.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
3316
#10
10.80.0
10.410.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1937
#29
9.70.6
7.98.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2231
#21
9.60.0
9.29.2
Auto
Teleop
End