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Red55
32118.7
157416.2
15778.8
Blue11
33518.8
43383.2
16579.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30220104050605511

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.20.5
15.015.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
9.80.2
9.99.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
8.80.5
7.68.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
8.80.2
8.88.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3211
#23
8.70.5
7.57.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
4338
#36
3.20.2
3.33.1
Auto
Teleop
End