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Red34
32118.7
15778.8
157416.2
Blue31
16579.8
43383.2
33518.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31220104050603431

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.20.0
15.515.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
9.80.2
9.79.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
8.80.0
8.08.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
8.80.2
8.68.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3211
#23
8.70.0
7.98.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
4338
#36
3.20.2
3.13.2
Auto
Teleop
End