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Red14
328412.0
16522.0
39733.1
Blue3
9384.3
9371.7
9317.2
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131601020304050143

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3284
#21
12.00.0
8.98.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
931
#27
7.21.1
8.27.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3973
#49
3.10.0
3.43.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
938
#41
4.31.1
5.64.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1652
#64
2.00.0
1.51.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
937
#63
1.71.1
2.91.8
Auto
Teleop
End