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Red50
62417.8
43533.7
147721.6
Blue14
299212.1
142112.1
20787.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4232205060705014

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.60.1
21.321.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.5
12.10.4
12.412.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
624
#2
17.80.1
17.517.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
1421
#11
12.10.3
12.412.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4353
#20
3.70.2
3.33.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
2078
#25
7.20.3
7.57.1
Auto
Teleop
End