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Red2
40871.9
303912.1
37533.3
Blue15
43533.7
41074.0
39379.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108020304050215

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.10.7
3.73.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
9.40.6
3.33.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3753
#26
3.30.7
3.52.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
4107
#28
4.00.6
2.12.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4087
#29
1.90.1
1.92.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
4353
#20
3.70.6
2.12.7
Auto
Teleop
End