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Red14
21834.8
3649.0
142112.1
Blue12
41992.8
19202.0
4566.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2013051015253035401412

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1421
#11
12.10.6
11.110.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
456
#15
6.80.2
9.29.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
364
#9
9.00.6
7.36.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
4199
#38
2.80.2
2.22.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2183
#30
4.80.6
3.22.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
1920
#49
2.00.2
2.72.5
Auto
Teleop
End