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Red3
41791.8
19128.5
13042.1
Blue0
20803.3
4183.9
32280.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10110515202530

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8.50.5
6.55.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
418
#46
3.90.9
4.93.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1304
#31
2.10.5
3.02.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
2080
#22
3.30.6
4.03.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4179
#40
1.80.5
0.1-0.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
3228
#39
0.80.9
2.31.4
Auto
Teleop
End