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Red18
43167.6
33377.9
43533.7
Blue17
41363.3
21834.8
19279.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1816010203040501817

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3337
#14
7.90.0
8.98.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
1927
#12
9.40.0
8.08.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4316
#23
7.60.0
6.46.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
2183
#30
4.80.0
4.54.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4353
#20
3.70.0
2.42.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
4136
#41
3.30.0
3.93.9
Auto
Teleop
End