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Red3
4566.8
22214.2
32280.8
Blue0
34712.8
41363.3
20911.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13100515202530354030

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#15
6.80.7
8.07.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
4136
#41
3.30.6
3.93.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2221
#24
4.20.7
4.53.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
3471
#37
2.80.6
3.42.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3228
#39
0.80.7
1.40.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
2091
#45
1.30.6
1.91.3
Auto
Teleop
End