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Red29
8712.0
39505.4
313712.2
Blue22
32914.1
287510.4
5336.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1631010204050602922

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.20.9
9.910.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
329
#6
14.10.4
13.413.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3950
#25
5.40.8
4.65.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
2875
#11
10.40.5
10.710.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
871
#43
2.00.8
1.22.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
533
#19
6.20.4
6.35.9
Auto
Teleop
End