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Red3
40487.2
20790.1
28887.2
Blue10
26486.9
41723.0
28713.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1211020304050607080310

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4048
#45
7.20.7
4.94.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2648
#20
6.90.1
6.46.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2888
#17
7.20.7
3.93.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
2871
#31
3.50.1
2.22.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2079
#52
0.10.7
3.12.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
4172
#38
3.00.1
3.12.9
Auto
Teleop
End