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Red20
110016.4
22623.3
32367.7
Blue33
23321.2
28887.2
28713.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25220103040502033

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.40.3
16.015.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
233
#6
21.20.5
14.314.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3236
#34
7.70.5
5.55.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2888
#17
7.20.9
5.66.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2262
#53
3.30.5
4.84.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2871
#31
3.50.9
2.43.3
Auto
Teleop
End