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Red9
43112.5
2469.5
5294.7
Blue26
41511.1
27139.8
24236.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161401020304050926

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
246
#32
9.50.3
7.16.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2713
#29
9.80.9
9.09.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
529
#50
4.70.5
5.44.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
6.80.9
6.16.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4311
#23
2.50.5
3.42.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
4151
#46
1.10.9
-1.2-0.3
Auto
Teleop
End