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Red19
25289.5
29126.4
28193.9
Blue3
35810.0
5091.5
22653.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1013052025303540193

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2528
#22
9.50.9
2.33.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
358
#11
10.00.8
8.37.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2912
#28
6.40.9
4.45.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
2265
#50
3.80.8
2.71.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2819
#40
3.90.9
2.02.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
509
#33
1.50.6
2.11.4
Auto
Teleop
End