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Red15
88810.7
237713.6
6862.5
Blue1
19213.9
42663.5
28193.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15110520253035151

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.60.1
7.27.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
192
#21
13.90.8
5.14.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
888
#2
10.70.1
6.05.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
2819
#40
3.90.8
2.82.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
686
#24
2.50.1
2.92.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
4266
#42
3.51.1
3.01.9
Auto
Teleop
End