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Red39
21715.7
42663.5
29126.4
Blue18
32836.1
25463.5
533.8
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19110515253035403918

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#4
15.71.5
13.815.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.6
3283
#52
6.10.6
5.15.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2912
#28
6.41.5
5.36.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
53
#16
3.80.6
3.44.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4266
#42
3.51.5
0.41.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2546
#49
3.50.6
2.43.0
Auto
Teleop
End