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Red18
258610.7
8573.7
323416.5
Blue24
90413.6
85812.2
40038.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323301020405060701824

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.50.2
16.716.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
904
#22
13.60.1
13.213.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
10.70.2
11.010.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
858
#11
12.20.1
11.811.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
857
#26
3.70.2
3.93.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
4003
#17
8.30.1
7.97.8
Auto
Teleop
End