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Red31
276711.4
35729.7
335716.8
Blue12
323416.5
36405.7
16775.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27200104050603112

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.80.2
14.814.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
16.50.5
13.412.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2767
#14
11.40.2
7.37.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
3640
#16
5.70.7
2.92.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3572
#27
9.70.3
5.65.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
1677
#32
5.40.4
4.33.8
Auto
Teleop
End