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Red18
36885.3
38757.5
18961.8
Blue14
9108.8
34581.6
276711.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions818051015202530351814

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3875
#23
7.50.5
3.33.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
2767
#14
11.40.2
7.57.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3688
#25
5.30.6
4.65.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
910
#33
8.80.3
7.37.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1896
#39
1.80.6
0.20.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
3458
#34
1.60.3
2.72.4
Auto
Teleop
End