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Red39
2885.1
171816.3
276711.4
Blue30
36885.3
191816.4
205420.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273401020304050603930

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.31.0
14.515.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
20.40.5
16.916.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2767
#14
11.40.6
8.79.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.0
16.40.3
12.211.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
288
#20
5.10.6
3.44.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3688
#25
5.30.3
7.37.0
Auto
Teleop
End