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Red20
34581.6
40038.3
7411.9
Blue22
2166.3
276711.4
36583.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14130102030402022

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
#31
11.90.2
8.28.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2767
#14
11.40.4
9.39.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4003
#17
8.30.2
6.36.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
216
#18
6.30.4
2.22.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3458
#34
1.60.4
0.71.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
3658
#19
3.50.4
1.72.2
Auto
Teleop
End