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Red33
276711.4
200012.7
43273.9
Blue2
171816.3
18961.8
8573.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions222001030405060332

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2000
#10
12.70.5
9.09.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
16.31.5
15.413.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2767
#14
11.40.5
9.810.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.7
857
#26
3.70.9
3.42.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4327
#35
3.90.5
4.04.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
1896
#39
1.80.9
1.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End