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Red30
354613.9
323416.5
24051.9
Blue4
36885.3
40045.5
8573.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions261601020304050304

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.50.2
14.314.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.0
4004
#15
5.50.6
6.35.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
13.90.2
9.69.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.7
3688
#25
5.30.6
6.45.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2405
#30
1.90.2
2.22.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
857
#26
3.70.6
2.51.9
Auto
Teleop
End