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Red19
43772.3
22467.9
36566.4
Blue9
36186.2
34525.3
42374.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1716051020253035199

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2246
#15
7.90.0
8.28.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
6.20.1
6.36.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3656
#10
6.40.0
6.76.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
3452
#19
5.30.1
5.35.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2.30.0
2.52.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
4237
#22
4.00.1
4.03.9
Auto
Teleop
End