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Red1
43810.7
27677.5
9047.0
Blue5
43625.6
43275.2
35093.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149020304015

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7.51.2
6.65.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
4362
#11
5.61.6
3.92.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
904
#9
7.01.2
6.14.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
4327
#14
5.21.6
3.92.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4381
#36
0.75.0
6.51.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
3509
#25
3.40.4
4.13.7
Auto
Teleop
End