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Red28
37670.2
8513.6
36566.4
Blue0
40042.3
20007.4
12542.2
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13120510152025280

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#3
13.61.3
6.98.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
2000
#13
7.40.9
6.55.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3656
#10
6.41.3
5.36.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
4004
#29
2.30.9
3.12.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3767
#31
0.21.2
0.41.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
1254
#17
2.20.9
2.61.6
Auto
Teleop
End