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Red19
16774.8
29598.7
44082.9
Blue22
36566.4
43983.7
38753.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1314051020253035401922

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2959
#21
8.70.3
6.56.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
3656
#10
6.40.6
6.67.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1677
#16
4.80.4
4.24.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
4398
#20
3.70.5
4.65.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4408
#30
2.90.3
3.33.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
3875
#27
3.30.5
3.33.8
Auto
Teleop
End