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Red12
43772.3
34525.3
20007.4
Blue6
27714.3
43810.7
35093.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15110520253035126

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2000
#13
7.40.2
6.86.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
2771
#26
4.30.3
5.55.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3452
#19
5.30.2
5.95.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
3509
#25
3.40.3
3.43.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2.30.2
2.72.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
4381
#36
0.70.3
2.01.6
Auto
Teleop
End