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Red10
43251.9
38753.3
29598.7
Blue18
43275.2
43754.6
27677.5
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1215010203040501018

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2959
#21
8.70.2
6.86.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
7.50.1
6.26.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3875
#27
3.30.2
3.83.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
4327
#14
5.20.1
4.74.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4325
#33
1.90.2
2.42.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
4375
#18
4.60.1
4.74.8
Auto
Teleop
End