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Red16
16774.8
9047.0
35093.4
Blue4
19403.6
43683.2
38753.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139051520253035164

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
904
#9
7.00.1
6.76.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
1940
#23
3.60.3
3.83.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1677
#16
4.80.1
4.14.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
3875
#27
3.30.3
3.63.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3509
#25
3.40.1
3.23.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
4368
#28
3.20.3
2.01.7
Auto
Teleop
End