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Red29
1239.8
24051.9
2478.3
Blue40
27677.5
43683.2
29598.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20160510253035402940

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123
#2
9.80.2
9.69.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
2959
#21
8.70.4
7.98.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
247
#4
8.30.2
8.28.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
7.50.4
6.77.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2405
#35
1.90.2
1.81.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
4368
#28
3.20.4
2.42.8
Auto
Teleop
End