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Red30
28236.3
27098.5
327712.0
Blue21
25497.9
21758.5
31307.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2724102030403021

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.00.1
12.112.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
2175
#15
8.50.1
8.68.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
8.50.0
8.68.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
3130
#14
7.90.1
8.07.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2823
#26
6.30.1
6.46.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
7.90.1
8.07.9
Auto
Teleop
End