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Red22
30424.4
181615.7
25497.9
Blue0
39262.2
1719.2
42391.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1612020406080220

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1816
#17
15.70.4
7.88.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
171
#11
9.20.7
7.46.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
7.90.5
5.76.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
3926
#43
2.20.5
2.21.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3042
#39
4.40.5
2.73.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
4239
#58
1.80.2
1.81.6
Auto
Teleop
End