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Red18
222010.8
25255.8
30554.3
Blue12
32912.6
27098.5
32905.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18140103040501812

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10.80.0
9.29.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
8.50.1
6.86.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2525
#38
5.80.0
4.64.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
3290
#47
5.50.2
4.44.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4.30.0
4.04.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
3291
#29
2.60.2
2.72.5
Auto
Teleop
End