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Red26
329313.2
41666.3
37500.3
Blue8
42391.8
28839.1
21296.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12905152025303540268

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.21.2
7.68.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
2883
#19
9.10.1
4.74.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4166
#34
6.31.2
2.03.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2129
#48
6.10.1
2.92.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3750
#45
0.31.2
2.63.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
4239
#58
1.80.1
1.41.3
Auto
Teleop
End