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Red8
41666.3
43971.3
36334.9
Blue15
181615.7
30554.3
32783.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12210304050815

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4166
#34
6.30.3
5.95.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.4
1816
#17
15.70.3
14.213.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3633
#35
4.90.3
4.94.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
4.30.5
3.73.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4397
#56
1.30.3
0.70.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
3278
#46
3.90.5
3.53.0
Auto
Teleop
End