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Red10
32905.5
36904.7
42271.9
Blue18
32752.8
21434.7
28551.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11601520251018

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3290
#47
5.50.1
5.65.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
2143
#55
4.70.8
3.84.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3690
#37
4.70.1
4.84.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
3275
#24
2.80.8
1.92.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4227
#25
1.90.1
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2855
#52
1.40.8
0.51.4
Auto
Teleop
End