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Red27
327712.0
43971.3
26544.5
Blue8
32982.8
22073.1
21758.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1415020406080278

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.00.9
10.711.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
2175
#15
8.50.4
8.78.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2654
#32
4.50.9
3.64.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
2207
#59
3.10.6
3.73.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4397
#56
1.30.9
0.41.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
3298
#21
2.80.6
3.42.8
Auto
Teleop
End