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Red11
25312.2
37230.3
27057.0
Blue4
36423.9
42291.6
32441.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions910051520114

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2705
#23
7.00.0
5.75.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
3642
#38
3.90.5
4.54.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2531
#43
2.20.0
3.63.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
3244
#58
1.70.5
3.02.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3723
#46
0.30.0
1.81.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
4229
#59
1.60.5
2.01.5
Auto
Teleop
End