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Red3
26672.2
37652.9
30078.6
Blue9
374711.9
28255.4
31004.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions819010304039

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3007
#16
8.60.4
2.82.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
11.90.6
11.010.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3765
#52
2.90.4
2.31.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
2825
#11
5.40.8
3.62.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2667
#65
2.20.4
2.42.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
3100
#28
4.00.8
4.63.7
Auto
Teleop
End