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Red16
28619.8
25091.7
26672.2
Blue20
24503.1
42291.6
25003.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108051520253035401620

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2861
#17
9.80.6
4.85.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
2500
#31
3.70.8
3.24.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2667
#65
2.20.6
2.02.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
3.11.1
2.63.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2509
#63
1.70.6
2.43.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
4229
#59
1.61.1
1.52.6
Auto
Teleop
End