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Red4
24703.6
26672.2
36423.9
Blue31
52516.7
25350.5
253813.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112502030405060431

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3642
#38
3.90.6
4.43.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.9
525
#13
16.70.3
13.013.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2470
#45
3.60.3
3.83.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.4
13.10.3
10.110.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2667
#65
2.20.6
2.62.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
2535
#53
0.50.5
1.72.2
Auto
Teleop
End