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Red26
253016.2
37222.6
32441.7
Blue13
223211.6
24980.4
25087.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16120520253035402613

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2530
#12
16.20.5
12.913.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
2232
#29
11.60.0
7.77.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3722
#18
2.60.8
1.11.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.0
7.60.0
3.63.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3244
#58
1.70.8
2.73.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
2498
#54
0.40.0
1.11.2
Auto
Teleop
End