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Red6
37834.3
31847.5
24503.1
Blue3
25014.9
28255.4
37230.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17701020304063

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7.50.5
7.77.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
2825
#11
5.40.3
2.42.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3783
#15
4.30.5
4.94.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
2501
#25
4.90.3
3.93.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3.10.9
4.23.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
3723
#46
0.30.3
0.80.4
Auto
Teleop
End