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Red10
28791.6
34548.3
374711.9
Blue13
25003.7
37834.3
30583.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1990304050601013

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.90.6
11.611.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.6
3783
#15
4.30.3
3.13.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3454
#19
8.30.7
4.13.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
2500
#31
3.70.3
3.13.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2879
#62
1.60.7
3.02.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
3.00.4
2.32.6
Auto
Teleop
End