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Red31
30817.9
25003.7
301817.5
Blue22
30078.6
31004.0
25116.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2416010203040503122

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.50.4
14.715.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
3007
#16
8.60.5
7.58.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3081
#26
7.90.6
5.35.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
2511
#42
6.30.5
4.75.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2500
#31
3.70.4
4.04.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
3100
#28
4.00.5
3.84.3
Auto
Teleop
End