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Red15
205216.4
22273.7
253813.1
Blue0
25453.6
38712.1
37222.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27702040506070150

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.40.8
13.412.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.8
2545
#22
3.60.7
4.74.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
13.10.8
10.69.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.4
3722
#18
2.60.7
1.91.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2227
#10
3.71.0
2.41.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
3871
#47
2.10.7
1.60.9
Auto
Teleop
End